Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 7 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 7 juillet ?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F ou moins <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$57,886 Vol.
$57,886 Vol.
7 juil. 2026
73°F ou moins
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78-79°F
Non
80-81°F
Non
82-83 °F
Non
84-85°F
Oui
86-87 °F
Non
88-89°F
Non
90-91 °F
Non
92°F ou plus
Non
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F ou moins <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$57,886 Vol.
$57,886 Vol.
7 juil. 2026
73°F ou moins
$3,886 Vol.
Non
74-75°F
$3,865 Vol.
Non
76-77°F
$3,113 Vol.
Non
78-79°F
$2,533 Vol.
Non
80-81°F
$4,687 Vol.
Non
82-83 °F
$9,379 Vol.
Non
84-85°F
$10,457 Vol.
Oui
86-87 °F
$6,710 Vol.
Non
88-89°F
$4,704 Vol.
Non
90-91 °F
$3,429 Vol.
Non
92°F ou plus
$5,122 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$57,886Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,886Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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