Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 80s for Dallas on July 15, below the month’s typical 96–98°F climatological average, as increased cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 86–89°F because ensemble spreads remain narrow yet sensitive to the precise timing and coverage of convection, which can suppress or enhance maximum readings by several degrees. Key variables include surface dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal boundary that may enhance lift and reduce insolation. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon model runs will likely tighten or shift these probabilities as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 15 juillet ?
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F ou moins <1%
82-83 °F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$112,373 Vol.
$112,373 Vol.
81°F ou moins
Non
82-83 °F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87 °F
Non
88-89°F
Non
90-91°F
Oui
92-93°F
Non
94-95 °F
Non
96-97 °F
Non
98-99°F
Non
100°F ou plus
Non
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F ou moins <1%
82-83 °F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$112,373 Vol.
$112,373 Vol.
81°F ou moins
Non
82-83 °F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87 °F
Non
88-89°F
Non
90-91°F
Oui
92-93°F
Non
94-95 °F
Non
96-97 °F
Non
98-99°F
Non
100°F ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 80s for Dallas on July 15, below the month’s typical 96–98°F climatological average, as increased cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 86–89°F because ensemble spreads remain narrow yet sensitive to the precise timing and coverage of convection, which can suppress or enhance maximum readings by several degrees. Key variables include surface dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal boundary that may enhance lift and reduce insolation. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon model runs will likely tighten or shift these probabilities as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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