Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around mid-to-upper 80s°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 16, driven by National Weather Service guidance showing highs in the upper 70s/upper 80s under a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. Southeast winds of 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air, boosting boundary layer temperatures while low precipitation odds (under 20%) minimize cloud interference with solar insolation. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads—GFS ensembles lean slightly warmer toward 86-89°F with clearer skies, while ECMWF hints at thinner cirrus veils potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F—against an April climatological average of 79°F. New 00Z model runs tonight and NWS updates tomorrow could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on April 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 16?
86-87°F 38%
84-85°F 29%
82-83°F 13%
88-89°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
5%
94°F or higher
2%
86-87°F 38%
84-85°F 29%
82-83°F 13%
88-89°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
75°F or below
$132 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$129 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$146 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$57 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$7 Vol.
13%
84-85°F
$33 Vol.
29%
86-87°F
$89 Vol.
38%
88-89°F
$36 Vol.
12%
90-91°F
$40 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$24 Vol.
5%
94°F or higher
$145 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around mid-to-upper 80s°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 16, driven by National Weather Service guidance showing highs in the upper 70s/upper 80s under a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. Southeast winds of 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air, boosting boundary layer temperatures while low precipitation odds (under 20%) minimize cloud interference with solar insolation. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads—GFS ensembles lean slightly warmer toward 86-89°F with clearer skies, while ECMWF hints at thinner cirrus veils potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F—against an April climatological average of 79°F. New 00Z model runs tonight and NWS updates tomorrow could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Volume
$828Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around mid-to-upper 80s°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 16, driven by National Weather Service guidance showing highs in the upper 70s/upper 80s under a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. Southeast winds of 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air, boosting boundary layer temperatures while low precipitation odds (under 20%) minimize cloud interference with solar insolation. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads—GFS ensembles lean slightly warmer toward 86-89°F with clearer skies, while ECMWF hints at thinner cirrus veils potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F—against an April climatological average of 79°F. New 00Z model runs tonight and NWS updates tomorrow could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$828Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around mid-to-upper 80s°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 16, driven by National Weather Service guidance showing highs in the upper 70s/upper 80s under a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. Southeast winds of 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air, boosting boundary layer temperatures while low precipitation odds (under 20%) minimize cloud interference with solar insolation. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads—GFS ensembles lean slightly warmer toward 86-89°F with clearer skies, while ECMWF hints at thinner cirrus veils potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F—against an April climatological average of 79°F. New 00Z model runs tonight and NWS updates tomorrow could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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