Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 16 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 16 juillet ?
28°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,732 Vol.
$42,732 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Oui
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
28°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,732 Vol.
$42,732 Vol.
16 juil. 2026
22°C ou moins
$669 Vol.
Non
23°C
$630 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,444 Vol.
Non
25°C
$2,401 Vol.
Non
26°C
$5,841 Vol.
Non
27°C
$9,632 Vol.
Non
28°C
$10,930 Vol.
Oui
29°C
$5,208 Vol.
Non
30°C
$3,226 Vol.
Non
31°C
$1,943 Vol.
Non
32°C ou plus
$808 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$42,732Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,732Date de fin
16 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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