Recent short-term forecasts for Istanbul indicate highs near 28–29°C on July 2, 2026, consistent with the city’s Mediterranean climate where early-July averages reach about 27–28°C under typical subtropical high pressure. Coastal influences from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara moderate peak temperatures through sea breezes, while late-June warmth has primed the region without evident heat-wave amplification. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting the market’s emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes over extremes. No major model shifts or anomalous patterns have emerged in the past week to alter this near-normal expectation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 2 juillet ?
28°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$41,616 Vol.
$41,616 Vol.
24°C ou moins
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Oui
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C ou plus
Non
28°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$41,616 Vol.
$41,616 Vol.
24°C ou moins
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Oui
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent short-term forecasts for Istanbul indicate highs near 28–29°C on July 2, 2026, consistent with the city’s Mediterranean climate where early-July averages reach about 27–28°C under typical subtropical high pressure. Coastal influences from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara moderate peak temperatures through sea breezes, while late-June warmth has primed the region without evident heat-wave amplification. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting the market’s emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes over extremes. No major model shifts or anomalous patterns have emerged in the past week to alter this near-normal expectation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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