Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 1, driven by real-time observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station—the market's official resolution source—peaking at 35°C during midday amid partly cloudy skies and intense solar heating early in the day. BMKG synoptic reports confirm this maximum, aligning with dry season onset climatology where Jakarta averages 32°C highs but urban heat island effects routinely push readings to 35°C or higher, especially under light winds and high humidity. Light rain later moderated conditions, preventing escalation. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from BMKG audits revealing a higher peak, though improbable given the day's progression and model consensus for 32–33°C daytime maxima. Final daily summary expected soon from BMKG.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 1?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 1?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$79,592 Vol.
$79,592 Vol.
1 mai 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$79,592 Vol.
$79,592 Vol.
1 mai 2026
27°C or below
$687 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,898 Vol.
No
29°C
$534 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,542 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,163 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,335 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,540 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,610 Vol.
No
35°C
$17,243 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$9,081 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$18,959 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 1, driven by real-time observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station—the market's official resolution source—peaking at 35°C during midday amid partly cloudy skies and intense solar heating early in the day. BMKG synoptic reports confirm this maximum, aligning with dry season onset climatology where Jakarta averages 32°C highs but urban heat island effects routinely push readings to 35°C or higher, especially under light winds and high humidity. Light rain later moderated conditions, preventing escalation. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from BMKG audits revealing a higher peak, though improbable given the day's progression and model consensus for 32–33°C daytime maxima. Final daily summary expected soon from BMKG.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$79,592Date de fin
1 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 1, driven by real-time observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station—the market's official resolution source—peaking at 35°C during midday amid partly cloudy skies and intense solar heating early in the day. BMKG synoptic reports confirm this maximum, aligning with dry season onset climatology where Jakarta averages 32°C highs but urban heat island effects routinely push readings to 35°C or higher, especially under light winds and high humidity. Light rain later moderated conditions, preventing escalation. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from BMKG audits revealing a higher peak, though improbable given the day's progression and model consensus for 32–33°C daytime maxima. Final daily summary expected soon from BMKG.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$79,592Date de fin
1 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 1, driven by real-time observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station—the market's official resolution source—peaking at 35°C during midday amid partly cloudy skies and intense solar heating early in the day. BMKG synoptic reports confirm this maximum, aligning with dry season onset climatology where Jakarta averages 32°C highs but urban heat island effects routinely push readings to 35°C or higher, especially under light winds and high humidity. Light rain later moderated conditions, preventing escalation. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from BMKG audits revealing a higher peak, though improbable given the day's progression and model consensus for 32–33°C daytime maxima. Final daily summary expected soon from BMKG.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes