**Trader sentiment for Karachi's highest temperature on July 1, 2026, centers on 33–35°C, with 34°C holding the strongest implied probability at 42.5%.** This reflects the city's typical early-July climatology, where daytime highs average near 31–34°C (88–93°F) as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. Coastal location on the Arabian Sea brings moderating sea breezes and higher humidity, which cap extreme heat compared with inland Sindh. Late-June 2026 conditions featured persistently hot weather across southern Pakistan, with Karachi maxima often 34–38°C amid pre-monsoon dryness; this baseline supports a modest cooling or stabilization trend into the first days of July rather than a sharp spike or drop. Long-range guidance and historical analogs show July 1 highs rarely exceed 36°C or fall below 31°C without an unusual synoptic shift, such as a strong monsoon surge or persistent high-pressure ridge. Model consensus and recent seasonal patterns therefore concentrate probability mass in the narrow 33–35°C band, while tails (below 31°C or 37°C+) remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Karachi le 1er juillet ?
Température la plus élevée à Karachi le 1er juillet ?
33°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$123,989 Vol.
$123,989 Vol.
1 juil. 2026
28°C ou moins
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Oui
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C ou plus
Non
33°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$123,989 Vol.
$123,989 Vol.
1 juil. 2026
28°C ou moins
$11,381 Vol.
Non
29°C
$22,156 Vol.
Non
30°C
$2,793 Vol.
Non
31°C
$31,306 Vol.
Non
32°C
$25,150 Vol.
Non
33°C
$9,620 Vol.
Oui
34°C
$7,433 Vol.
Non
35°C
$6,880 Vol.
Non
36°C
$3,766 Vol.
Non
37°C
$1,935 Vol.
Non
38°C ou plus
$1,568 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's highest temperature on July 1, 2026, centers on 33–35°C, with 34°C holding the strongest implied probability at 42.5%.** This reflects the city's typical early-July climatology, where daytime highs average near 31–34°C (88–93°F) as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. Coastal location on the Arabian Sea brings moderating sea breezes and higher humidity, which cap extreme heat compared with inland Sindh.
Late-June 2026 conditions featured persistently hot weather across southern Pakistan, with Karachi maxima often 34–38°C amid pre-monsoon dryness; this baseline supports a modest cooling or stabilization trend into the first days of July rather than a sharp spike or drop. Long-range guidance and historical analogs show July 1 highs rarely exceed 36°C or fall below 31°C without an unusual synoptic shift, such as a strong monsoon surge or persistent high-pressure ridge. Model consensus and recent seasonal patterns therefore concentrate probability mass in the narrow 33–35°C band, while tails (below 31°C or 37°C+) remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$123,989Date de fin
1 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's highest temperature on July 1, 2026, centers on 33–35°C, with 34°C holding the strongest implied probability at 42.5%.** This reflects the city's typical early-July climatology, where daytime highs average near 31–34°C (88–93°F) as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. Coastal location on the Arabian Sea brings moderating sea breezes and higher humidity, which cap extreme heat compared with inland Sindh.
Late-June 2026 conditions featured persistently hot weather across southern Pakistan, with Karachi maxima often 34–38°C amid pre-monsoon dryness; this baseline supports a modest cooling or stabilization trend into the first days of July rather than a sharp spike or drop. Long-range guidance and historical analogs show July 1 highs rarely exceed 36°C or fall below 31°C without an unusual synoptic shift, such as a strong monsoon surge or persistent high-pressure ridge. Model consensus and recent seasonal patterns therefore concentrate probability mass in the narrow 33–35°C band, while tails (below 31°C or 37°C+) remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$123,989Date de fin
1 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader sentiment for Karachi's highest temperature on July 1, 2026, centers on 33–35°C, with 34°C holding the strongest implied probability at 42.5%.** This reflects the city's typical early-July climatology, where daytime highs average near 31–34°C (88–93°F) as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. Coastal location on the Arabian Sea brings moderating sea breezes and higher humidity, which cap extreme heat compared with inland Sindh. Late-June 2026 conditions featured persistently hot weather across southern Pakistan, with Karachi maxima often 34–38°C amid pre-monsoon dryness; this baseline supports a modest cooling or stabilization trend into the first days of July rather than a sharp spike or drop. Long-range guidance and historical analogs show July 1 highs rarely exceed 36°C or fall below 31°C without an unusual synoptic shift, such as a strong monsoon surge or persistent high-pressure ridge. Model consensus and recent seasonal patterns therefore concentrate probability mass in the narrow 33–35°C band, while tails (below 31°C or 37°C+) remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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