Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Karachi le 5 juillet ?
Température la plus élevée à Karachi le 5 juillet ?
34°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,828 Vol.
$61,828 Vol.
5 juil. 2026
28°C ou moins
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Oui
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C ou plus
Non
34°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,828 Vol.
$61,828 Vol.
5 juil. 2026
28°C ou moins
$1,326 Vol.
Non
29°C
$2,401 Vol.
Non
30°C
$3,083 Vol.
Non
31°C
$2,818 Vol.
Non
32°C
$2,921 Vol.
Non
33°C
$17,283 Vol.
Non
34°C
$8,921 Vol.
Oui
35°C
$11,212 Vol.
Non
36°C
$3,612 Vol.
Non
37°C
$4,531 Vol.
Non
38°C ou plus
$3,720 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$61,828Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,828Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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