Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Lagos le 18 avril ?
Température la plus élevée à Lagos le 18 avril ?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$223,428 Vol.
$223,428 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$223,428 Vol.
$223,428 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
27°C or below
$6,643 Vol.
No
28°C
$68,518 Vol.
No
29°C
$11,677 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,066 Vol.
No
31°C
$29,686 Vol.
No
32°C
$38,920 Vol.
No
33°C
$25,885 Vol.
No
34°C
$14,196 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$6,518 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,311 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$6,008 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ET
Volume
$223,428Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$223,428Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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