Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lagos on April 26?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 26?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,635 Vol.
$48,635 Vol.
26 avr. 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,635 Vol.
$48,635 Vol.
26 avr. 2026
27°C or below
$4,491 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,114 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,880 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,016 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,715 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,783 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$2,874 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,692 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,496 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,533 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$2,041 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$48,635Date de fin
26 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$48,635Date de fin
26 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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