The primary driver behind the closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 33°C (27.5%) or 34°C (22.5%) as Lucknow’s highest temperature on July 2 is the advancing southwest monsoon, which has begun delivering increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh. Recent IMD observations show a sharp cooling from late-June heatwave peaks above 40°C, with official forecasts now pointing to daytime maxima near 32–34°C amid frequent cloudiness that limits solar heating. Historical climatology places early-July averages around 34°C, but model consensus anticipates modest suppression from rainfall and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and monsoon-driven moderation, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any showers on July 2.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 2?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 2?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$87,880 Vol.
$87,880 Vol.
2 juil. 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$87,880 Vol.
$87,880 Vol.
2 juil. 2026
26°C or below
$4,314 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,284 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,337 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,172 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,352 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,419 Vol.
No
32°C
$18,699 Vol.
No
33°C
$17,414 Vol.
No
34°C
$12,519 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$8,965 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$7,404 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The primary driver behind the closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 33°C (27.5%) or 34°C (22.5%) as Lucknow’s highest temperature on July 2 is the advancing southwest monsoon, which has begun delivering increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh. Recent IMD observations show a sharp cooling from late-June heatwave peaks above 40°C, with official forecasts now pointing to daytime maxima near 32–34°C amid frequent cloudiness that limits solar heating. Historical climatology places early-July averages around 34°C, but model consensus anticipates modest suppression from rainfall and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and monsoon-driven moderation, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any showers on July 2.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$87,880Date de fin
2 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The primary driver behind the closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 33°C (27.5%) or 34°C (22.5%) as Lucknow’s highest temperature on July 2 is the advancing southwest monsoon, which has begun delivering increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh. Recent IMD observations show a sharp cooling from late-June heatwave peaks above 40°C, with official forecasts now pointing to daytime maxima near 32–34°C amid frequent cloudiness that limits solar heating. Historical climatology places early-July averages around 34°C, but model consensus anticipates modest suppression from rainfall and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and monsoon-driven moderation, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any showers on July 2.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87,880Date de fin
2 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The primary driver behind the closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 33°C (27.5%) or 34°C (22.5%) as Lucknow’s highest temperature on July 2 is the advancing southwest monsoon, which has begun delivering increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh. Recent IMD observations show a sharp cooling from late-June heatwave peaks above 40°C, with official forecasts now pointing to daytime maxima near 32–34°C amid frequent cloudiness that limits solar heating. Historical climatology places early-July averages around 34°C, but model consensus anticipates modest suppression from rainfall and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and monsoon-driven moderation, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any showers on July 2.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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