The India Meteorological Department’s official forecast for Lucknow on June 14, 2026, calls for a maximum temperature of 37 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers possible, directly anchoring the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent days saw highs of 39–44 °C amid a heat wave, but increasing moisture and cloud cover from eastern Uttar Pradesh have moderated conditions, consistent with climatological trends for mid-June as pre-monsoon activity builds. Hourly observations through the afternoon remained near or below this level, reinforcing trader consensus on the official measurement. Only a substantial revision in verified IMD data or an unexpected localized spike would alter the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 14?
37°C 100.0%
32°C ou moins <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$47,023 Vol.
$47,023 Vol.
32°C ou moins
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
No
37°C
Oui
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Non
42°C ou plus
Non
37°C 100.0%
32°C ou moins <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$47,023 Vol.
$47,023 Vol.
32°C ou moins
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
No
37°C
Oui
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Non
42°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The India Meteorological Department’s official forecast for Lucknow on June 14, 2026, calls for a maximum temperature of 37 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers possible, directly anchoring the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Recent days saw highs of 39–44 °C amid a heat wave, but increasing moisture and cloud cover from eastern Uttar Pradesh have moderated conditions, consistent with climatological trends for mid-June as pre-monsoon activity builds. Hourly observations through the afternoon remained near or below this level, reinforcing trader consensus on the official measurement. Only a substantial revision in verified IMD data or an unexpected localized spike would alter the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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