Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–28°C for Madrid's April 17 high, reflecting AEMET's latest forecast of 26°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light NE winds at 10 km/h, and subsidence warming that has pushed recent highs to 23–25°C over the past 48 hours. This anomalously warm pattern—well above April's climatological average of 18–20°C—stems from upper-level anticyclonic flow over Iberia, but close odds capture genuine uncertainty in global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, where divergences in afternoon cloud development and wind shear could swing temperatures by 1–3°C through variations in solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Watch tomorrow's ECMWF 12z update and AEMET bulletin for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
25°C 21%
28°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
20°C or below
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
21%
26°C
28%
27°C
32%
28°C
19%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
7%
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
25°C 21%
28°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$5 Vol.
4%
23°C
$10 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$11 Vol.
32%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C
$19 Vol.
12%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–28°C for Madrid's April 17 high, reflecting AEMET's latest forecast of 26°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light NE winds at 10 km/h, and subsidence warming that has pushed recent highs to 23–25°C over the past 48 hours. This anomalously warm pattern—well above April's climatological average of 18–20°C—stems from upper-level anticyclonic flow over Iberia, but close odds capture genuine uncertainty in global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, where divergences in afternoon cloud development and wind shear could swing temperatures by 1–3°C through variations in solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Watch tomorrow's ECMWF 12z update and AEMET bulletin for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$41Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–28°C for Madrid's April 17 high, reflecting AEMET's latest forecast of 26°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light NE winds at 10 km/h, and subsidence warming that has pushed recent highs to 23–25°C over the past 48 hours. This anomalously warm pattern—well above April's climatological average of 18–20°C—stems from upper-level anticyclonic flow over Iberia, but close odds capture genuine uncertainty in global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, where divergences in afternoon cloud development and wind shear could swing temperatures by 1–3°C through variations in solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Watch tomorrow's ECMWF 12z update and AEMET bulletin for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$41Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–28°C for Madrid's April 17 high, reflecting AEMET's latest forecast of 26°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light NE winds at 10 km/h, and subsidence warming that has pushed recent highs to 23–25°C over the past 48 hours. This anomalously warm pattern—well above April's climatological average of 18–20°C—stems from upper-level anticyclonic flow over Iberia, but close odds capture genuine uncertainty in global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, where divergences in afternoon cloud development and wind shear could swing temperatures by 1–3°C through variations in solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Watch tomorrow's ECMWF 12z update and AEMET bulletin for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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