Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on April 25?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 25?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$97,646 Vol.
$97,646 Vol.
25 avr. 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$97,646 Vol.
$97,646 Vol.
25 avr. 2026
18°C or below
$6,024 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,527 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,387 Vol.
No
21°C
$8,314 Vol.
No
22°C
$10,829 Vol.
No
23°C
$12,095 Vol.
No
24°C
$13,254 Vol.
No
25°C
$17,002 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$10,374 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,129 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$5,710 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$97,646Date de fin
25 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$97,646Date de fin
25 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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