PAGASA observations confirm Metro Manila's hot, dry conditions under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary urban reference—peaking at 35.1°C on April 18, while nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA, RPLL) hit 36.3°C per end-of-day reports updated at 11:59 PM. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 35°C reflects real-time monitoring of the resolution source, Wunderground's NAIA history data (rounded to whole degrees Celsius), showing no breach beyond that threshold amid post-sunset cooling and declining solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include a final data revision upward from provisional METAR reports or an anomalous late-evening heat spike, though unlikely given nocturnal boundary layer stabilization; watch for Wunderground's finalized daily summary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on April 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$23,454 Vol.
$23,454 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$23,454 Vol.
$23,454 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
28°C or below
$1,722 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,019 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,696 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,304 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,018 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,837 Vol.
No
34°C
$880 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,210 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$1,672 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,143 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$1,954 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations confirm Metro Manila's hot, dry conditions under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary urban reference—peaking at 35.1°C on April 18, while nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA, RPLL) hit 36.3°C per end-of-day reports updated at 11:59 PM. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 35°C reflects real-time monitoring of the resolution source, Wunderground's NAIA history data (rounded to whole degrees Celsius), showing no breach beyond that threshold amid post-sunset cooling and declining solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include a final data revision upward from provisional METAR reports or an anomalous late-evening heat spike, though unlikely given nocturnal boundary layer stabilization; watch for Wunderground's finalized daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Volume
$23,454Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations confirm Metro Manila's hot, dry conditions under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary urban reference—peaking at 35.1°C on April 18, while nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA, RPLL) hit 36.3°C per end-of-day reports updated at 11:59 PM. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 35°C reflects real-time monitoring of the resolution source, Wunderground's NAIA history data (rounded to whole degrees Celsius), showing no breach beyond that threshold amid post-sunset cooling and declining solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include a final data revision upward from provisional METAR reports or an anomalous late-evening heat spike, though unlikely given nocturnal boundary layer stabilization; watch for Wunderground's finalized daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$23,454Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
PAGASA observations confirm Metro Manila's hot, dry conditions under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary urban reference—peaking at 35.1°C on April 18, while nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA, RPLL) hit 36.3°C per end-of-day reports updated at 11:59 PM. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 35°C reflects real-time monitoring of the resolution source, Wunderground's NAIA history data (rounded to whole degrees Celsius), showing no breach beyond that threshold amid post-sunset cooling and declining solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include a final data revision upward from provisional METAR reports or an anomalous late-evening heat spike, though unlikely given nocturnal boundary layer stabilization; watch for Wunderground's finalized daily summary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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