Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on April 20?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 20?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$37,348 Vol.
$37,348 Vol.
20 avr. 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$37,348 Vol.
$37,348 Vol.
20 avr. 2026
29°C or below
$2,953 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,816 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,971 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,171 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,905 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,498 Vol.
No
35°C
$8,241 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$3,556 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,953 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,097 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,186 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$37,348Date de fin
20 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,348Date de fin
20 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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