PAGASA's official forecast for July 2 in Manila calls for a 32°C maximum under southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions with 60% rain chance, anchoring trader focus near the 30–32°C cluster. Typical July highs average 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers, while Manila's urban heat island occasionally adds 1°C locally. An emerging El Niño may tilt seasonal rainfall patterns drier later in the year, but short-term steering and timing of monsoon bursts introduce the main uncertainty. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as traders weigh model consensus against variability in exact peak timing and intensity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 2 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 2 juillet ?
35°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,227 Vol.
$70,227 Vol.
2 juil. 2026
26°C ou moins
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29 °C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Oui
36°C ou plus
Non
35°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,227 Vol.
$70,227 Vol.
2 juil. 2026
26°C ou moins
$3,044 Vol.
Non
27°C
$2,357 Vol.
Non
28°C
$3,580 Vol.
Non
29 °C
$5,379 Vol.
Non
30°C
$6,053 Vol.
Non
31°C
$4,796 Vol.
Non
32°C
$6,602 Vol.
Non
33°C
$8,991 Vol.
Non
34°C
$11,238 Vol.
Non
35°C
$9,554 Vol.
Oui
36°C ou plus
$8,633 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's official forecast for July 2 in Manila calls for a 32°C maximum under southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions with 60% rain chance, anchoring trader focus near the 30–32°C cluster. Typical July highs average 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers, while Manila's urban heat island occasionally adds 1°C locally. An emerging El Niño may tilt seasonal rainfall patterns drier later in the year, but short-term steering and timing of monsoon bursts introduce the main uncertainty. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as traders weigh model consensus against variability in exact peak timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$70,227Date de fin
2 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's official forecast for July 2 in Manila calls for a 32°C maximum under southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions with 60% rain chance, anchoring trader focus near the 30–32°C cluster. Typical July highs average 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers, while Manila's urban heat island occasionally adds 1°C locally. An emerging El Niño may tilt seasonal rainfall patterns drier later in the year, but short-term steering and timing of monsoon bursts introduce the main uncertainty. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as traders weigh model consensus against variability in exact peak timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70,227Date de fin
2 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
PAGASA's official forecast for July 2 in Manila calls for a 32°C maximum under southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions with 60% rain chance, anchoring trader focus near the 30–32°C cluster. Typical July highs average 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers, while Manila's urban heat island occasionally adds 1°C locally. An emerging El Niño may tilt seasonal rainfall patterns drier later in the year, but short-term steering and timing of monsoon bursts introduce the main uncertainty. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as traders weigh model consensus against variability in exact peak timing and intensity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes