**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's July 9 maximum temperature.** PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate highs near 31°C with 40–60% rain probability under the southwest monsoon (habagat), consistent with July climatology of daytime peaks averaging 31°C amid high humidity. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring the market's leading 32°C (24.5%) and 33°C (21.5%) outcomes over hotter thresholds. Model consensus shows limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C or above, while urban heat-island effects are offset by frequent convection typical of the wet season. Updated PAGASA and global model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 9 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 9 juillet ?
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$42,529 Vol.
$42,529 Vol.
9 juil. 2026
26°C ou moins
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Oui
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C ou plus
Non
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$42,529 Vol.
$42,529 Vol.
9 juil. 2026
26°C ou moins
$1,782 Vol.
Non
27°C
$1,570 Vol.
Non
28°C
$2,080 Vol.
Non
29°C
$4,361 Vol.
Non
30°C
$3,483 Vol.
Non
31°C
$6,319 Vol.
Non
32°C
$9,537 Vol.
Non
33°C
$5,011 Vol.
Oui
34°C
$4,214 Vol.
Non
35°C
$2,488 Vol.
Non
36°C ou plus
$1,685 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's July 9 maximum temperature.** PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate highs near 31°C with 40–60% rain probability under the southwest monsoon (habagat), consistent with July climatology of daytime peaks averaging 31°C amid high humidity. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring the market's leading 32°C (24.5%) and 33°C (21.5%) outcomes over hotter thresholds. Model consensus shows limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C or above, while urban heat-island effects are offset by frequent convection typical of the wet season. Updated PAGASA and global model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$42,529Date de fin
9 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's July 9 maximum temperature.** PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate highs near 31°C with 40–60% rain probability under the southwest monsoon (habagat), consistent with July climatology of daytime peaks averaging 31°C amid high humidity. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring the market's leading 32°C (24.5%) and 33°C (21.5%) outcomes over hotter thresholds. Model consensus shows limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C or above, while urban heat-island effects are offset by frequent convection typical of the wet season. Updated PAGASA and global model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,529Date de fin
9 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's July 9 maximum temperature.** PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate highs near 31°C with 40–60% rain probability under the southwest monsoon (habagat), consistent with July climatology of daytime peaks averaging 31°C amid high humidity. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring the market's leading 32°C (24.5%) and 33°C (21.5%) outcomes over hotter thresholds. Model consensus shows limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C or above, while urban heat-island effects are offset by frequent convection typical of the wet season. Updated PAGASA and global model runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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