Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on June 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 23?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$24,546 Vol.
$24,546 Vol.
23 juin 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$24,546 Vol.
$24,546 Vol.
23 juin 2026
28°C or below
$277 Vol.
No
29°C
$183 Vol.
No
30°C
$797 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,978 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,121 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$3,458 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,840 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,320 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,110 Vol.
No
37°C
$278 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$186 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$24,546Date de fin
23 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,546Date de fin
23 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes