Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 31°C on June 26 with 60% rain probability from southwest monsoon activity, aligning with the market's clustered 30–32°C outcomes. Developing El Niño conditions, confirmed by Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +0.9°C and strengthening through mid-2026, provide a warmer baseline that can elevate peaks if cloud cover thins, supporting the notable 16.5% odds on 35°C. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, but afternoon thunderstorms and higher humidity often cap readings; model consensus on steering patterns and convective timing will determine whether urban heat-island effects push temperatures toward the upper tail or keep them moderated near the current trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on June 26?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 26?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,746 Vol.
$86,746 Vol.
26 juin 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,746 Vol.
$86,746 Vol.
26 juin 2026
26°C or below
$28,094 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,663 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,454 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,322 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,763 Vol.
No
31°C
$13,815 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$4,659 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,039 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,924 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,571 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,444 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 31°C on June 26 with 60% rain probability from southwest monsoon activity, aligning with the market's clustered 30–32°C outcomes. Developing El Niño conditions, confirmed by Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +0.9°C and strengthening through mid-2026, provide a warmer baseline that can elevate peaks if cloud cover thins, supporting the notable 16.5% odds on 35°C. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, but afternoon thunderstorms and higher humidity often cap readings; model consensus on steering patterns and convective timing will determine whether urban heat-island effects push temperatures toward the upper tail or keep them moderated near the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 24, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$86,746Date de fin
26 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 31°C on June 26 with 60% rain probability from southwest monsoon activity, aligning with the market's clustered 30–32°C outcomes. Developing El Niño conditions, confirmed by Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +0.9°C and strengthening through mid-2026, provide a warmer baseline that can elevate peaks if cloud cover thins, supporting the notable 16.5% odds on 35°C. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, but afternoon thunderstorms and higher humidity often cap readings; model consensus on steering patterns and convective timing will determine whether urban heat-island effects push temperatures toward the upper tail or keep them moderated near the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$86,746Date de fin
26 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 31°C on June 26 with 60% rain probability from southwest monsoon activity, aligning with the market's clustered 30–32°C outcomes. Developing El Niño conditions, confirmed by Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +0.9°C and strengthening through mid-2026, provide a warmer baseline that can elevate peaks if cloud cover thins, supporting the notable 16.5% odds on 35°C. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, but afternoon thunderstorms and higher humidity often cap readings; model consensus on steering patterns and convective timing will determine whether urban heat-island effects push temperatures toward the upper tail or keep them moderated near the current trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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