Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Manila on June 3 because the city’s tropical monsoon climate produces consistent early-June heat. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration climatology shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C during this period, driven by high solar insolation, low wind shear, and the seasonal transition before peak southwest monsoon rains. Current model guidance and regional sea-surface temperatures reinforce this pattern with minimal cooling influence expected. An atypical cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall could theoretically suppress readings below 31°C, yet such events remain uncommon this early in the month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on June 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 3?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$17,173 Vol.
$17,173 Vol.
3 juin 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$17,173 Vol.
$17,173 Vol.
3 juin 2026
21°C or below
$434 Vol.
No
22°C
$540 Vol.
No
23°C
$675 Vol.
No
24°C
$547 Vol.
No
25°C
$497 Vol.
No
26°C
$413 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,270 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,627 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,409 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,078 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$5,682 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Manila on June 3 because the city’s tropical monsoon climate produces consistent early-June heat. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration climatology shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C during this period, driven by high solar insolation, low wind shear, and the seasonal transition before peak southwest monsoon rains. Current model guidance and regional sea-surface temperatures reinforce this pattern with minimal cooling influence expected. An atypical cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall could theoretically suppress readings below 31°C, yet such events remain uncommon this early in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volume
$17,173Date de fin
3 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Manila on June 3 because the city’s tropical monsoon climate produces consistent early-June heat. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration climatology shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C during this period, driven by high solar insolation, low wind shear, and the seasonal transition before peak southwest monsoon rains. Current model guidance and regional sea-surface temperatures reinforce this pattern with minimal cooling influence expected. An atypical cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall could theoretically suppress readings below 31°C, yet such events remain uncommon this early in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,173Date de fin
3 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Manila on June 3 because the city’s tropical monsoon climate produces consistent early-June heat. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration climatology shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C during this period, driven by high solar insolation, low wind shear, and the seasonal transition before peak southwest monsoon rains. Current model guidance and regional sea-surface temperatures reinforce this pattern with minimal cooling influence expected. An atypical cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall could theoretically suppress readings below 31°C, yet such events remain uncommon this early in the month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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