Recent model consensus from major forecasting agencies points to a highest temperature of 20–21°C in Mexico City on August 24, aligning with the market's tightest odds and reflecting typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 23–24°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns and moderate humidity, though small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings by 1°C. Historical analogs from similar late-August setups rarely exceed 25°C, supporting the low probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes while underscoring the narrow window between the leading bins. Updated model runs and official short-range forecasts will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 24 août ?
20°C 37%
21°C 31%
19°C 16%
22°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
15°C ou moins
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
5%
19°C
16%
20°C
37%
21°C
31%
22°C
11%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C ou plus
1%
20°C 37%
21°C 31%
19°C 16%
22°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
15°C ou moins
$135 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$16 Vol.
8%
18°C
$174 Vol.
5%
19°C
$71 Vol.
16%
20°C
$253 Vol.
37%
21°C
$155 Vol.
31%
22°C
$84 Vol.
11%
23°C
$117 Vol.
5%
24°C
$72 Vol.
2%
25°C ou plus
$60 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting agencies points to a highest temperature of 20–21°C in Mexico City on August 24, aligning with the market's tightest odds and reflecting typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 23–24°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns and moderate humidity, though small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings by 1°C. Historical analogs from similar late-August setups rarely exceed 25°C, supporting the low probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes while underscoring the narrow window between the leading bins. Updated model runs and official short-range forecasts will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,141Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting agencies points to a highest temperature of 20–21°C in Mexico City on August 24, aligning with the market's tightest odds and reflecting typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 23–24°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns and moderate humidity, though small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings by 1°C. Historical analogs from similar late-August setups rarely exceed 25°C, supporting the low probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes while underscoring the narrow window between the leading bins. Updated model runs and official short-range forecasts will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,141Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major forecasting agencies points to a highest temperature of 20–21°C in Mexico City on August 24, aligning with the market's tightest odds and reflecting typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 23–24°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns and moderate humidity, though small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings by 1°C. Historical analogs from similar late-August setups rarely exceed 25°C, supporting the low probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes while underscoring the narrow window between the leading bins. Updated model runs and official short-range forecasts will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes