Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 25 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 25 juin ?
24°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$43,153 Vol.
$43,153 Vol.
25 juin 2026
17°C ou moins
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Oui
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C ou plus
Non
24°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$43,153 Vol.
$43,153 Vol.
25 juin 2026
17°C ou moins
$3,838 Vol.
Non
18°C
$2,049 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,896 Vol.
Non
20°C
$3,443 Vol.
Non
21°C
$1,839 Vol.
Non
22°C
$3,181 Vol.
Non
23°C
$13,376 Vol.
Non
24°C
$5,018 Vol.
Oui
25°C
$4,829 Vol.
Non
26°C
$1,394 Vol.
Non
27°C ou plus
$2,290 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 23, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Volume
$43,153Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 9:08 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,153Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 9:08 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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