Latest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 at 82-83°F, anchoring trader consensus with 37% implied probability for that outcome and 19.5% each for neighboring 80-81°F and 84-85°F bins. A building subtropical ridge over Florida drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while afternoon sea breeze onshore winds—typically 10-15 mph—moderate peaks consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA). Recent KMIA observations hit 81°F on April 13 amid a gradual warm-up from earlier onshore flow, with no disruptive fronts or tropical activity in sight. Ensemble spread of 2-3°F captures uncertainty from possible isolated showers; watch evening model runs and tomorrow's NWS update for shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Miami on April 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 16?
82-83°F 49%
80-81°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
4%
82-83°F 49%
80-81°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
67°F or below
$309 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$253 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$301 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$168 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$584 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$282 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$324 Vol.
16%
80-81°F
$170 Vol.
23%
82-83°F
$292 Vol.
49%
84-85°F
$262 Vol.
12%
86°F or higher
$459 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 at 82-83°F, anchoring trader consensus with 37% implied probability for that outcome and 19.5% each for neighboring 80-81°F and 84-85°F bins. A building subtropical ridge over Florida drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while afternoon sea breeze onshore winds—typically 10-15 mph—moderate peaks consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA). Recent KMIA observations hit 81°F on April 13 amid a gradual warm-up from earlier onshore flow, with no disruptive fronts or tropical activity in sight. Ensemble spread of 2-3°F captures uncertainty from possible isolated showers; watch evening model runs and tomorrow's NWS update for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$3,396Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 at 82-83°F, anchoring trader consensus with 37% implied probability for that outcome and 19.5% each for neighboring 80-81°F and 84-85°F bins. A building subtropical ridge over Florida drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while afternoon sea breeze onshore winds—typically 10-15 mph—moderate peaks consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA). Recent KMIA observations hit 81°F on April 13 amid a gradual warm-up from earlier onshore flow, with no disruptive fronts or tropical activity in sight. Ensemble spread of 2-3°F captures uncertainty from possible isolated showers; watch evening model runs and tomorrow's NWS update for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,396Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 at 82-83°F, anchoring trader consensus with 37% implied probability for that outcome and 19.5% each for neighboring 80-81°F and 84-85°F bins. A building subtropical ridge over Florida drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while afternoon sea breeze onshore winds—typically 10-15 mph—moderate peaks consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA). Recent KMIA observations hit 81°F on April 13 amid a gradual warm-up from earlier onshore flow, with no disruptive fronts or tropical activity in sight. Ensemble spread of 2-3°F captures uncertainty from possible isolated showers; watch evening model runs and tomorrow's NWS update for shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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