Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature at Malpensa International Airport—the market's resolution station—around 20-21°C today, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (38.5% implied probability) amid a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and efficient afternoon heating. Nearby outcomes at 22°C (28.5%) and 20°C (24%) capture ensemble spreads from variable cloud cover and slight model divergences on peak timing. These levels exceed the mid-April climatological average of 18°C at local stations like Linate, reflecting recent stabilization after earlier rainy variability. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists; monitor ARPA Lombardia hourly observations for intraday shifts as the market nears close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 15?
21°C 39%
22°C 29%
20°C 26%
23°C or higher 5.7%
$47,012 Vol.
$47,012 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
26%
21°C
39%
22°C
29%
23°C or higher
6%
21°C 39%
22°C 29%
20°C 26%
23°C or higher 5.7%
$47,012 Vol.
$47,012 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
26%
21°C
39%
22°C
29%
23°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature at Malpensa International Airport—the market's resolution station—around 20-21°C today, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (38.5% implied probability) amid a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and efficient afternoon heating. Nearby outcomes at 22°C (28.5%) and 20°C (24%) capture ensemble spreads from variable cloud cover and slight model divergences on peak timing. These levels exceed the mid-April climatological average of 18°C at local stations like Linate, reflecting recent stabilization after earlier rainy variability. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists; monitor ARPA Lombardia hourly observations for intraday shifts as the market nears close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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