Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature around 23°C at 31.5% implied probability for Milan on April 19, with 22°C (26%) and 24°C (24%) close behind, reflecting wide spreads in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid a mild high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Recent model runs show daytime highs clustering between 22–25°C under southerly flows advecting warmer air masses, but divergent cloud cover projections—ranging from partly sunny (favoring 24°C via greater insolation) to increasing showers (capping at 22°C)—drive the tight race. Ventusky ensembles peak near 25°C dry, while Meteoblue holds at 23°C with light precip risk; new 12Z updates tomorrow could shift odds as resolution nears. Historical April norms (~18–20°C) underscore the warm anomaly from current blocking patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on April 19?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 19?
23°C 31%
22°C 28%
21°C 21%
24°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
17%
22°C
28%
23°C
31%
24°C
18%
25°C
9%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 31%
22°C 28%
21°C 21%
24°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
17°C or below
$365 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$253 Vol.
1%
19°C
$247 Vol.
2%
20°C
$129 Vol.
2%
21°C
$26 Vol.
17%
22°C
$16 Vol.
28%
23°C
$10 Vol.
31%
24°C
$10 Vol.
18%
25°C
$147 Vol.
9%
26°C
$65 Vol.
7%
27°C or higher
$56 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature around 23°C at 31.5% implied probability for Milan on April 19, with 22°C (26%) and 24°C (24%) close behind, reflecting wide spreads in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid a mild high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Recent model runs show daytime highs clustering between 22–25°C under southerly flows advecting warmer air masses, but divergent cloud cover projections—ranging from partly sunny (favoring 24°C via greater insolation) to increasing showers (capping at 22°C)—drive the tight race. Ventusky ensembles peak near 25°C dry, while Meteoblue holds at 23°C with light precip risk; new 12Z updates tomorrow could shift odds as resolution nears. Historical April norms (~18–20°C) underscore the warm anomaly from current blocking patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$1,325Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature around 23°C at 31.5% implied probability for Milan on April 19, with 22°C (26%) and 24°C (24%) close behind, reflecting wide spreads in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid a mild high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Recent model runs show daytime highs clustering between 22–25°C under southerly flows advecting warmer air masses, but divergent cloud cover projections—ranging from partly sunny (favoring 24°C via greater insolation) to increasing showers (capping at 22°C)—drive the tight race. Ventusky ensembles peak near 25°C dry, while Meteoblue holds at 23°C with light precip risk; new 12Z updates tomorrow could shift odds as resolution nears. Historical April norms (~18–20°C) underscore the warm anomaly from current blocking patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,325Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature around 23°C at 31.5% implied probability for Milan on April 19, with 22°C (26%) and 24°C (24%) close behind, reflecting wide spreads in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid a mild high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Recent model runs show daytime highs clustering between 22–25°C under southerly flows advecting warmer air masses, but divergent cloud cover projections—ranging from partly sunny (favoring 24°C via greater insolation) to increasing showers (capping at 22°C)—drive the tight race. Ventusky ensembles peak near 25°C dry, while Meteoblue holds at 23°C with light precip risk; new 12Z updates tomorrow could shift odds as resolution nears. Historical April norms (~18–20°C) underscore the warm anomaly from current blocking patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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