Current observations from Milan’s official stations confirm a daily maximum of exactly 29°C on June 14, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that peaked temperatures in the afternoon before gradual evening cooling set in. This aligns with short-range model consensus and historical June baselines around 26–28°C, leaving little room for upward revision once the final reading is recorded. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders’ recognition that late-day data and measurement thresholds have effectively locked in the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected station recalibration, delayed heat spike, or official methodology change—scenarios with negligible probability this close to resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on June 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 14?
29°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$55,965 Vol.
$55,965 Vol.
14 juin 2026
28°C ou moins
Non
29°C
Oui
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$55,965 Vol.
$55,965 Vol.
14 juin 2026
28°C ou moins
$5,694 Vol.
Non
29°C
$14,145 Vol.
Oui
30°C
$9,253 Vol.
Non
31°C
$8,325 Vol.
Non
32°C
$7,695 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,686 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,525 Vol.
No
35°C
$498 Vol.
No
36°C
$358 Vol.
No
37°C
$299 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$488 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observations from Milan’s official stations confirm a daily maximum of exactly 29°C on June 14, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that peaked temperatures in the afternoon before gradual evening cooling set in. This aligns with short-range model consensus and historical June baselines around 26–28°C, leaving little room for upward revision once the final reading is recorded. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders’ recognition that late-day data and measurement thresholds have effectively locked in the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected station recalibration, delayed heat spike, or official methodology change—scenarios with negligible probability this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$55,965Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observations from Milan’s official stations confirm a daily maximum of exactly 29°C on June 14, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that peaked temperatures in the afternoon before gradual evening cooling set in. This aligns with short-range model consensus and historical June baselines around 26–28°C, leaving little room for upward revision once the final reading is recorded. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders’ recognition that late-day data and measurement thresholds have effectively locked in the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected station recalibration, delayed heat spike, or official methodology change—scenarios with negligible probability this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,965Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current observations from Milan’s official stations confirm a daily maximum of exactly 29°C on June 14, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that peaked temperatures in the afternoon before gradual evening cooling set in. This aligns with short-range model consensus and historical June baselines around 26–28°C, leaving little room for upward revision once the final reading is recorded. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders’ recognition that late-day data and measurement thresholds have effectively locked in the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected station recalibration, delayed heat spike, or official methodology change—scenarios with negligible probability this close to resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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