Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including runs aligning with observed trends through mid-June 2026, cluster the expected maximum temperature in Milan around 33–35°C on June 20, directly supporting the market’s leading 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (28.5%) outcomes. Following an early-June heatwave that delivered peaks near 35–36°C across the Po Valley under strong subtropical ridging, current guidance indicates moderating high pressure with slightly increased moisture and possible afternoon convection, limiting further intensification. Milan’s climatological June average high of 26–28°C provides baseline context, yet persistent above-average 500 hPa heights and urban heat retention sustain the elevated range. Updated model cycles and observational verification over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of the June 20 resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on June 20?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 20?
34°C 100.0%
31°C ou moins <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$45,178 Vol.
$45,178 Vol.
20 juin 2026
31°C ou moins
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Oui
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C ou moins <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$45,178 Vol.
$45,178 Vol.
20 juin 2026
31°C ou moins
$412 Vol.
Non
32°C
$3,673 Vol.
Non
33°C
$9,635 Vol.
Non
34°C
$9,518 Vol.
Oui
35°C
$9,318 Vol.
Non
36°C
$5,553 Vol.
Non
37°C
$4,242 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,373 Vol.
No
39°C
$571 Vol.
No
40°C
$527 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$358 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including runs aligning with observed trends through mid-June 2026, cluster the expected maximum temperature in Milan around 33–35°C on June 20, directly supporting the market’s leading 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (28.5%) outcomes. Following an early-June heatwave that delivered peaks near 35–36°C across the Po Valley under strong subtropical ridging, current guidance indicates moderating high pressure with slightly increased moisture and possible afternoon convection, limiting further intensification. Milan’s climatological June average high of 26–28°C provides baseline context, yet persistent above-average 500 hPa heights and urban heat retention sustain the elevated range. Updated model cycles and observational verification over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of the June 20 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$45,178Date de fin
20 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including runs aligning with observed trends through mid-June 2026, cluster the expected maximum temperature in Milan around 33–35°C on June 20, directly supporting the market’s leading 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (28.5%) outcomes. Following an early-June heatwave that delivered peaks near 35–36°C across the Po Valley under strong subtropical ridging, current guidance indicates moderating high pressure with slightly increased moisture and possible afternoon convection, limiting further intensification. Milan’s climatological June average high of 26–28°C provides baseline context, yet persistent above-average 500 hPa heights and urban heat retention sustain the elevated range. Updated model cycles and observational verification over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of the June 20 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,178Date de fin
20 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including runs aligning with observed trends through mid-June 2026, cluster the expected maximum temperature in Milan around 33–35°C on June 20, directly supporting the market’s leading 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (28.5%) outcomes. Following an early-June heatwave that delivered peaks near 35–36°C across the Po Valley under strong subtropical ridging, current guidance indicates moderating high pressure with slightly increased moisture and possible afternoon convection, limiting further intensification. Milan’s climatological June average high of 26–28°C provides baseline context, yet persistent above-average 500 hPa heights and urban heat retention sustain the elevated range. Updated model cycles and observational verification over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of the June 20 resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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