Ongoing European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and warm advection from the south, are elevating forecast highs for Milan on June 24 well above the June climatological average of roughly 26–27°C. Recent model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and regional agencies points to maximum temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius, with several runs indicating 34–36°C under mostly clear skies and light winds that limit mixing and cooling. Official red alerts issued for Milan on June 21 underscore the anomalous warmth persisting into the forecast window. These verified trends and short-term model agreement underpin the market-implied 64.5% probability for 34°C or higher, while lower outcomes reflect residual uncertainty from potential convective cooling or minor forecast shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on June 24?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 24?
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$36,575 Vol.
$36,575 Vol.
24 juin 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
Yes
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$36,575 Vol.
$36,575 Vol.
24 juin 2026
24°C or below
$229 Vol.
No
25°C
$118 Vol.
No
26°C
$115 Vol.
No
27°C
$225 Vol.
No
28°C
$275 Vol.
No
29°C
$337 Vol.
No
30°C
$242 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,671 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,708 Vol.
No
33°C
$11,184 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$13,472 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and warm advection from the south, are elevating forecast highs for Milan on June 24 well above the June climatological average of roughly 26–27°C. Recent model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and regional agencies points to maximum temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius, with several runs indicating 34–36°C under mostly clear skies and light winds that limit mixing and cooling. Official red alerts issued for Milan on June 21 underscore the anomalous warmth persisting into the forecast window. These verified trends and short-term model agreement underpin the market-implied 64.5% probability for 34°C or higher, while lower outcomes reflect residual uncertainty from potential convective cooling or minor forecast shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$36,575Date de fin
24 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and warm advection from the south, are elevating forecast highs for Milan on June 24 well above the June climatological average of roughly 26–27°C. Recent model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and regional agencies points to maximum temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius, with several runs indicating 34–36°C under mostly clear skies and light winds that limit mixing and cooling. Official red alerts issued for Milan on June 21 underscore the anomalous warmth persisting into the forecast window. These verified trends and short-term model agreement underpin the market-implied 64.5% probability for 34°C or higher, while lower outcomes reflect residual uncertainty from potential convective cooling or minor forecast shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,575Date de fin
24 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Ongoing European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and warm advection from the south, are elevating forecast highs for Milan on June 24 well above the June climatological average of roughly 26–27°C. Recent model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and regional agencies points to maximum temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius, with several runs indicating 34–36°C under mostly clear skies and light winds that limit mixing and cooling. Official red alerts issued for Milan on June 21 underscore the anomalous warmth persisting into the forecast window. These verified trends and short-term model agreement underpin the market-implied 64.5% probability for 34°C or higher, while lower outcomes reflect residual uncertainty from potential convective cooling or minor forecast shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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