Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on June 25?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 25?
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,176 Vol.
$50,176 Vol.
25 juin 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,176 Vol.
$50,176 Vol.
25 juin 2026
30°C or below
$1,287 Vol.
No
31°C
$524 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,894 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,516 Vol.
No
34°C
$13,690 Vol.
No
35°C
$11,394 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$6,402 Vol.
No
37°C
$1,498 Vol.
No
38°C
$985 Vol.
No
39°C
$514 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$473 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$50,176Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,176Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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