Persistent high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies over northern Italy are driving near-unanimous trader consensus toward a 28 °C daily maximum in Milan on May 22, as models from major meteorological agencies converge on this value amid strong daytime solar insolation. This outcome reflects current observational trends and forecast stability, with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent. Modest afternoon cloud increases or stronger surface winds could cap the peak slightly lower, while any delay in cloud development or enhanced radiative heating might push readings into adjacent ranges once the full diurnal cycle concludes and official station data finalize the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on May 22?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$42,221 Vol.
$42,221 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$42,221 Vol.
$42,221 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 20, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Persistent high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies over northern Italy are driving near-unanimous trader consensus toward a 28 °C daily maximum in Milan on May 22, as models from major meteorological agencies converge on this value amid strong daytime solar insolation. This outcome reflects current observational trends and forecast stability, with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent. Modest afternoon cloud increases or stronger surface winds could cap the peak slightly lower, while any delay in cloud development or enhanced radiative heating might push readings into adjacent ranges once the full diurnal cycle concludes and official station data finalize the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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