Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 2 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 2 mai ?
15°C 100.0%
9°C ou moins <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$79,966 Vol.
$79,966 Vol.
2 mai 2026
9°C ou moins
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Oui
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C ou plus
Non
15°C 100.0%
9°C ou moins <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$79,966 Vol.
$79,966 Vol.
2 mai 2026
9°C ou moins
$7,683 Vol.
Non
10°C
$6,712 Vol.
Non
11°C
$3,466 Vol.
Non
12°C
$4,825 Vol.
Non
13°C
$7,109 Vol.
Non
14°C
$13,199 Vol.
Non
15°C
$10,241 Vol.
Oui
16°C
$13,593 Vol.
Non
17°C
$5,241 Vol.
Non
18°C
$4,668 Vol.
Non
19°C ou plus
$3,228 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$79,966Date de fin
2 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$79,966Date de fin
2 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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