Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on May 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 11?
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$83,241 Vol.
$83,241 Vol.
11 mai 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$83,241 Vol.
$83,241 Vol.
11 mai 2026
9°C or below
$766 Vol.
No
10°C
$499 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,908 Vol.
No
12°C
$3,022 Vol.
No
13°C
$5,293 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,691 Vol.
No
15°C
$7,469 Vol.
No
16°C
$8,828 Vol.
No
17°C
$12,137 Vol.
No
18°C
$13,437 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$26,192 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Volume
$83,241Date de fin
11 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$83,241Date de fin
11 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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