Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader sentiment toward 18°C (36.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome for Paris's highest temperature on April 16, with close competition from 19°C and 20°C reflecting model spread amid mild spring conditions. Recent outlooks signal a return to typical mid-April highs around 16-18°C after variable early-week weather, influenced by a neutral North Atlantic Oscillation pattern favoring settled highs under partial cloudiness. Key differentiators include potential cloud cover timing—thicker overcast capping at 18°C, clearer skies pushing toward 20°C—and light shower risks reducing insolation; historical April averages sit at 16°C, but current runs show slight above-normal warmth. Overnight GFS/ECMWF updates will clarify ahead of official Paris-Montsouris observations resolving the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on April 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 16?
18°C 37%
19°C 26%
17°C 16%
20°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
37%
19°C
26%
20°C
13%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 37%
19°C 26%
17°C 16%
20°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
13°C or below
$621 Vol.
1%
14°C
$83 Vol.
1%
15°C
$146 Vol.
2%
16°C
$118 Vol.
5%
17°C
$224 Vol.
16%
18°C
$146 Vol.
37%
19°C
$103 Vol.
26%
20°C
$55 Vol.
13%
21°C
$89 Vol.
8%
22°C
$122 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$191 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader sentiment toward 18°C (36.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome for Paris's highest temperature on April 16, with close competition from 19°C and 20°C reflecting model spread amid mild spring conditions. Recent outlooks signal a return to typical mid-April highs around 16-18°C after variable early-week weather, influenced by a neutral North Atlantic Oscillation pattern favoring settled highs under partial cloudiness. Key differentiators include potential cloud cover timing—thicker overcast capping at 18°C, clearer skies pushing toward 20°C—and light shower risks reducing insolation; historical April averages sit at 16°C, but current runs show slight above-normal warmth. Overnight GFS/ECMWF updates will clarify ahead of official Paris-Montsouris observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,725Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader sentiment toward 18°C (36.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome for Paris's highest temperature on April 16, with close competition from 19°C and 20°C reflecting model spread amid mild spring conditions. Recent outlooks signal a return to typical mid-April highs around 16-18°C after variable early-week weather, influenced by a neutral North Atlantic Oscillation pattern favoring settled highs under partial cloudiness. Key differentiators include potential cloud cover timing—thicker overcast capping at 18°C, clearer skies pushing toward 20°C—and light shower risks reducing insolation; historical April averages sit at 16°C, but current runs show slight above-normal warmth. Overnight GFS/ECMWF updates will clarify ahead of official Paris-Montsouris observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,725Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader sentiment toward 18°C (36.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome for Paris's highest temperature on April 16, with close competition from 19°C and 20°C reflecting model spread amid mild spring conditions. Recent outlooks signal a return to typical mid-April highs around 16-18°C after variable early-week weather, influenced by a neutral North Atlantic Oscillation pattern favoring settled highs under partial cloudiness. Key differentiators include potential cloud cover timing—thicker overcast capping at 18°C, clearer skies pushing toward 20°C—and light shower risks reducing insolation; historical April averages sit at 16°C, but current runs show slight above-normal warmth. Overnight GFS/ECMWF updates will clarify ahead of official Paris-Montsouris observations resolving the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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