Tight market odds pitting 21°C (30.5%) against 20°C (29.0%) reflect forecast model consensus clustering around these values for the highest temperature at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 18, per recent Météo-France and ECMWF guidance showing mild highs of 20-21°C under overcast skies. A high-pressure ridge over Western Europe is advecting warmer southerly air masses, yielding above-seasonal averages (typically 15-16°C), but persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation and introduces uncertainty in peak heating during the afternoon maximum (around 2-4 p.m. local time). Discrepancies arise from high-resolution AROME models leaning cooler at 20°C due to thicker clouds, versus slightly warmer GFS runs near 22°C; stable outlooks over the past 48 hours show no major shifts, with evening updates potentially tipping trader sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 18 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 18 avril ?
21°C 30%
20°C 30%
19°C 17%
22°C 15%
$36,780 Vol.
$36,780 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
17%
20°C
30%
21°C
30%
22°C
15%
23°C or higher
4%
21°C 30%
20°C 30%
19°C 17%
22°C 15%
$36,780 Vol.
$36,780 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
17%
20°C
30%
21°C
30%
22°C
15%
23°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight market odds pitting 21°C (30.5%) against 20°C (29.0%) reflect forecast model consensus clustering around these values for the highest temperature at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 18, per recent Météo-France and ECMWF guidance showing mild highs of 20-21°C under overcast skies. A high-pressure ridge over Western Europe is advecting warmer southerly air masses, yielding above-seasonal averages (typically 15-16°C), but persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation and introduces uncertainty in peak heating during the afternoon maximum (around 2-4 p.m. local time). Discrepancies arise from high-resolution AROME models leaning cooler at 20°C due to thicker clouds, versus slightly warmer GFS runs near 22°C; stable outlooks over the past 48 hours show no major shifts, with evening updates potentially tipping trader sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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