Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 20°C on May 8, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid mild spring conditions following a cool early-May northerly flow that capped prior highs at 15–17°C. Météo-France data and forecast models like ECMWF aligned closely with this reading, reflecting advection of temperate Atlantic air under neutral ENSO influences, consistent with Paris's climatological May average of 19°C. With data verified to whole-degree precision, only a rare official revision—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears closure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on May 8?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 8?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$126,577 Vol.
$126,577 Vol.
8 mai 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$126,577 Vol.
$126,577 Vol.
8 mai 2026
15°C or below
$5,652 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,433 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,879 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,608 Vol.
No
19°C
$29,750 Vol.
No
20°C
$21,327 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$19,218 Vol.
No
22°C
$11,351 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,250 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,037 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$5,073 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 20°C on May 8, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid mild spring conditions following a cool early-May northerly flow that capped prior highs at 15–17°C. Météo-France data and forecast models like ECMWF aligned closely with this reading, reflecting advection of temperate Atlantic air under neutral ENSO influences, consistent with Paris's climatological May average of 19°C. With data verified to whole-degree precision, only a rare official revision—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$126,577Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 20°C on May 8, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid mild spring conditions following a cool early-May northerly flow that capped prior highs at 15–17°C. Météo-France data and forecast models like ECMWF aligned closely with this reading, reflecting advection of temperate Atlantic air under neutral ENSO influences, consistent with Paris's climatological May average of 19°C. With data verified to whole-degree precision, only a rare official revision—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$126,577Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 20°C on May 8, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid mild spring conditions following a cool early-May northerly flow that capped prior highs at 15–17°C. Météo-France data and forecast models like ECMWF aligned closely with this reading, reflecting advection of temperate Atlantic air under neutral ENSO influences, consistent with Paris's climatological May average of 19°C. With data verified to whole-degree precision, only a rare official revision—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears closure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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