Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 2 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 2 juillet ?
31°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,034 Vol.
$55,034 Vol.
2 juil. 2026
24°C ou moins
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Oui
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C ou plus
Non
31°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,034 Vol.
$55,034 Vol.
2 juil. 2026
24°C ou moins
$2,403 Vol.
Non
25°C
$2,826 Vol.
Non
26°C
$4,326 Vol.
Non
27°C
$4,818 Vol.
Non
28°C
$6,157 Vol.
Non
29°C
$6,622 Vol.
Non
30°C
$3,668 Vol.
Non
31°C
$8,501 Vol.
Oui
32°C
$4,963 Vol.
Non
33°C
$2,432 Vol.
Non
34°C ou plus
$8,318 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$55,034Date de fin
2 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,034Date de fin
2 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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