Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the authoritative station for market resolution—recorded a high temperature of 64-65°F on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this bin amid negligible 0.1% odds for 66°F or higher. Persistent marine stratus clouds and gusty westerly winds (10-20 mph) from a cool Pacific air mass limited solar heating and adiabatic warming, aligning with climatological norms where May highs average 67°F but frequently stall in the low 60s under overcast conditions. This positioning reflects finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) data, with model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System accurately previewing subdued temps 24-48 hours prior. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions from quality control or discrepancies with backup downtown sensors, though KSFO data carries precedence; market awaits Wunderground's archived history for final confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 10?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 10?
64-65°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$50,792 Vol.
$50,792 Vol.
10 mai 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$50,792 Vol.
$50,792 Vol.
10 mai 2026
47°F or below
$744 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$572 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$970 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$578 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$2,540 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$5,333 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$6,905 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$6,114 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$11,077 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$8,625 Vol.
Yes
66°F or higher
$7,335 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the authoritative station for market resolution—recorded a high temperature of 64-65°F on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this bin amid negligible 0.1% odds for 66°F or higher. Persistent marine stratus clouds and gusty westerly winds (10-20 mph) from a cool Pacific air mass limited solar heating and adiabatic warming, aligning with climatological norms where May highs average 67°F but frequently stall in the low 60s under overcast conditions. This positioning reflects finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) data, with model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System accurately previewing subdued temps 24-48 hours prior. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions from quality control or discrepancies with backup downtown sensors, though KSFO data carries precedence; market awaits Wunderground's archived history for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$50,792Date de fin
10 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the authoritative station for market resolution—recorded a high temperature of 64-65°F on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this bin amid negligible 0.1% odds for 66°F or higher. Persistent marine stratus clouds and gusty westerly winds (10-20 mph) from a cool Pacific air mass limited solar heating and adiabatic warming, aligning with climatological norms where May highs average 67°F but frequently stall in the low 60s under overcast conditions. This positioning reflects finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) data, with model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System accurately previewing subdued temps 24-48 hours prior. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions from quality control or discrepancies with backup downtown sensors, though KSFO data carries precedence; market awaits Wunderground's archived history for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$50,792Date de fin
10 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the authoritative station for market resolution—recorded a high temperature of 64-65°F on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this bin amid negligible 0.1% odds for 66°F or higher. Persistent marine stratus clouds and gusty westerly winds (10-20 mph) from a cool Pacific air mass limited solar heating and adiabatic warming, aligning with climatological norms where May highs average 67°F but frequently stall in the low 60s under overcast conditions. This positioning reflects finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) data, with model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System accurately previewing subdued temps 24-48 hours prior. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions from quality control or discrepancies with backup downtown sensors, though KSFO data carries precedence; market awaits Wunderground's archived history for final confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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