Market-implied odds show near-certainty at 26°C for Seoul’s June 4 high temperature because official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration align precisely with that threshold under current early-summer conditions, including typical June diurnal ranges of roughly 18–29 °C and stable atmospheric patterns without strong warming or cooling influences. This trader consensus reflects real-time data on maximum daytime readings rather than long-range models. A late-day measurement revision, localized microclimate effects, or updated official verification could still shift the recorded high, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial peaks are logged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on June 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 4?
26°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$168,709 Vol.
$168,709 Vol.
4 juin 2026
17°C ou moins
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$168,709 Vol.
$168,709 Vol.
4 juin 2026
17°C ou moins
$2,517 Vol.
Non
18°C
$2,018 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,178 Vol.
Non
20°C
$3,989 Vol.
No
21°C
$8,485 Vol.
No
22°C
$15,672 Vol.
No
23°C
$14,216 Vol.
No
24°C
$15,406 Vol.
No
25°C
$30,311 Vol.
No
26°C
$35,613 Vol.
Yes
27°C or higher
$39,304 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds show near-certainty at 26°C for Seoul’s June 4 high temperature because official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration align precisely with that threshold under current early-summer conditions, including typical June diurnal ranges of roughly 18–29 °C and stable atmospheric patterns without strong warming or cooling influences. This trader consensus reflects real-time data on maximum daytime readings rather than long-range models. A late-day measurement revision, localized microclimate effects, or updated official verification could still shift the recorded high, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial peaks are logged.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$168,709Date de fin
4 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds show near-certainty at 26°C for Seoul’s June 4 high temperature because official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration align precisely with that threshold under current early-summer conditions, including typical June diurnal ranges of roughly 18–29 °C and stable atmospheric patterns without strong warming or cooling influences. This trader consensus reflects real-time data on maximum daytime readings rather than long-range models. A late-day measurement revision, localized microclimate effects, or updated official verification could still shift the recorded high, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial peaks are logged.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$168,709Date de fin
4 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Market-implied odds show near-certainty at 26°C for Seoul’s June 4 high temperature because official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration align precisely with that threshold under current early-summer conditions, including typical June diurnal ranges of roughly 18–29 °C and stable atmospheric patterns without strong warming or cooling influences. This trader consensus reflects real-time data on maximum daytime readings rather than long-range models. A late-day measurement revision, localized microclimate effects, or updated official verification could still shift the recorded high, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial peaks are logged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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