The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest numerical weather prediction models and station observations strongly support a 23°C daily maximum in Seoul on June 5, reflecting stable early-summer conditions under weak high pressure, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with climatological expectations for early June, when average highs hover near 25–28°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 23°C incorporates real-time model consensus and surface data, leaving only slim room for revision. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily high is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on June 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 5?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$216,560 Vol.
$216,560 Vol.
5 juin 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$216,560 Vol.
$216,560 Vol.
5 juin 2026
17°C or below
$1,313 Vol.
No
18°C
$183 Vol.
No
19°C
$158 Vol.
No
20°C
$19,840 Vol.
No
21°C
$38,196 Vol.
No
22°C
$35,543 Vol.
No
23°C
$37,807 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$25,363 Vol.
No
25°C
$15,547 Vol.
No
26°C
$20,639 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$21,972 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest numerical weather prediction models and station observations strongly support a 23°C daily maximum in Seoul on June 5, reflecting stable early-summer conditions under weak high pressure, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with climatological expectations for early June, when average highs hover near 25–28°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 23°C incorporates real-time model consensus and surface data, leaving only slim room for revision. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$216,560Date de fin
5 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest numerical weather prediction models and station observations strongly support a 23°C daily maximum in Seoul on June 5, reflecting stable early-summer conditions under weak high pressure, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with climatological expectations for early June, when average highs hover near 25–28°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 23°C incorporates real-time model consensus and surface data, leaving only slim room for revision. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$216,560Date de fin
5 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest numerical weather prediction models and station observations strongly support a 23°C daily maximum in Seoul on June 5, reflecting stable early-summer conditions under weak high pressure, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with climatological expectations for early June, when average highs hover near 25–28°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 23°C incorporates real-time model consensus and surface data, leaving only slim room for revision. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily high is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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