Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles place Shanghai's April 19 high temperature near 20°C, with a 1–2°C spread driving the tight trader consensus among 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C outcomes at 21–22.5% implied probabilities each. This reflects inherent short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover reducing solar insolation, potential weak frontal passages introducing cooler northerly advection, and subtle shifts in the East Asian subtropical high's ridge position. Recent observations, including an 18°C high on April 15 amid post-frontal cooling, temper enthusiasm for warmer readings, while climatological mid-April averages of 19–20°C provide baseline support. Traders await CMA's next 8 a.m. and 8 p.m. updates and ECMWF/GFS runs for resolution clues, as measured at Shanghai Pudong Airport station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 19?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 19?
21°C 26%
20°C 20%
22°C 16%
19°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
16%
20°C
20%
21°C
26%
22°C
16%
23°C
14%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 26%
20°C 20%
22°C 16%
19°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 avr. 2026
17°C or below
$213 Vol.
1%
18°C
$240 Vol.
3%
19°C
$149 Vol.
16%
20°C
$157 Vol.
20%
21°C
$104 Vol.
26%
22°C
$100 Vol.
16%
23°C
$166 Vol.
14%
24°C
$249 Vol.
4%
25°C
$175 Vol.
2%
26°C
$211 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$248 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles place Shanghai's April 19 high temperature near 20°C, with a 1–2°C spread driving the tight trader consensus among 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C outcomes at 21–22.5% implied probabilities each. This reflects inherent short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover reducing solar insolation, potential weak frontal passages introducing cooler northerly advection, and subtle shifts in the East Asian subtropical high's ridge position. Recent observations, including an 18°C high on April 15 amid post-frontal cooling, temper enthusiasm for warmer readings, while climatological mid-April averages of 19–20°C provide baseline support. Traders await CMA's next 8 a.m. and 8 p.m. updates and ECMWF/GFS runs for resolution clues, as measured at Shanghai Pudong Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$1,913Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles place Shanghai's April 19 high temperature near 20°C, with a 1–2°C spread driving the tight trader consensus among 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C outcomes at 21–22.5% implied probabilities each. This reflects inherent short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover reducing solar insolation, potential weak frontal passages introducing cooler northerly advection, and subtle shifts in the East Asian subtropical high's ridge position. Recent observations, including an 18°C high on April 15 amid post-frontal cooling, temper enthusiasm for warmer readings, while climatological mid-April averages of 19–20°C provide baseline support. Traders await CMA's next 8 a.m. and 8 p.m. updates and ECMWF/GFS runs for resolution clues, as measured at Shanghai Pudong Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,913Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles place Shanghai's April 19 high temperature near 20°C, with a 1–2°C spread driving the tight trader consensus among 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C outcomes at 21–22.5% implied probabilities each. This reflects inherent short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover reducing solar insolation, potential weak frontal passages introducing cooler northerly advection, and subtle shifts in the East Asian subtropical high's ridge position. Recent observations, including an 18°C high on April 15 amid post-frontal cooling, temper enthusiasm for warmer readings, while climatological mid-April averages of 19–20°C provide baseline support. Traders await CMA's next 8 a.m. and 8 p.m. updates and ECMWF/GFS runs for resolution clues, as measured at Shanghai Pudong Airport station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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