Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 17 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 17 juillet ?
39°C 100.0%
32°C ou moins <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$184,326 Vol.
$184,326 Vol.
17 juil. 2026
32°C ou moins
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C
Non
39°C
Oui
40°C
Non
41°C
Non
42°C ou plus
Non
39°C 100.0%
32°C ou moins <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$184,326 Vol.
$184,326 Vol.
17 juil. 2026
32°C ou moins
$35,676 Vol.
Non
33°C
$2,037 Vol.
Non
34°C
$3,702 Vol.
Non
35°C
$4,115 Vol.
Non
36°C
$24,145 Vol.
Non
37°C
$19,775 Vol.
Non
38°C
$25,631 Vol.
Non
39°C
$35,380 Vol.
Oui
40°C
$24,245 Vol.
Non
41°C
$6,938 Vol.
Non
42°C ou plus
$2,682 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$184,326Date de fin
17 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$184,326Date de fin
17 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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