Recent short-range forecasts place Shanghai’s June 20 maximum near 29–32 °C as the East Asian monsoon and Meiyu front maintain widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble runs from major global models show only modest spread, with the timing of any brief clearing or changes in low-level flow determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Persistent high humidity and urban heat-island effects add further micro-scale variability, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered around 29–31 °C while assigning low odds to extremes outside 27–34 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these small but market-moving differences.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 20?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 20?
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$150,169 Vol.
$150,169 Vol.
20 juin 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$150,169 Vol.
$150,169 Vol.
20 juin 2026
25°C or below
$2,086 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,541 Vol.
No
27°C
$25,916 Vol.
No
28°C
$30,085 Vol.
No
29°C
$19,601 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$21,000 Vol.
No
31°C
$17,567 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,484 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,592 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,253 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$2,044 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts place Shanghai’s June 20 maximum near 29–32 °C as the East Asian monsoon and Meiyu front maintain widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble runs from major global models show only modest spread, with the timing of any brief clearing or changes in low-level flow determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Persistent high humidity and urban heat-island effects add further micro-scale variability, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered around 29–31 °C while assigning low odds to extremes outside 27–34 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these small but market-moving differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$150,169Date de fin
20 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts place Shanghai’s June 20 maximum near 29–32 °C as the East Asian monsoon and Meiyu front maintain widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble runs from major global models show only modest spread, with the timing of any brief clearing or changes in low-level flow determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Persistent high humidity and urban heat-island effects add further micro-scale variability, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered around 29–31 °C while assigning low odds to extremes outside 27–34 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these small but market-moving differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$150,169Date de fin
20 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent short-range forecasts place Shanghai’s June 20 maximum near 29–32 °C as the East Asian monsoon and Meiyu front maintain widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble runs from major global models show only modest spread, with the timing of any brief clearing or changes in low-level flow determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Persistent high humidity and urban heat-island effects add further micro-scale variability, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered around 29–31 °C while assigning low odds to extremes outside 27–34 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these small but market-moving differences.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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