Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on June 5 point to a daily maximum of 26°C, driving the near-certain market consensus. Early June marks the onset of the Meiyu plum rain season, characterized by persistent cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced solar radiation that typically caps daytime highs near seasonal averages of 25–28°C. Model runs show stable steering patterns and no significant warming advection, aligning with verified observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon clearing intensifies or localized subsidence strengthens, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before final readings are recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 5?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$154,805 Vol.
$154,805 Vol.
5 juin 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$154,805 Vol.
$154,805 Vol.
5 juin 2026
22°C or below
$4,958 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,651 Vol.
No
24°C
$24,573 Vol.
No
25°C
$16,542 Vol.
No
26°C
$40,556 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$15,642 Vol.
No
28°C
$15,257 Vol.
No
29°C
$17,139 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,695 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,605 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$3,188 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on June 5 point to a daily maximum of 26°C, driving the near-certain market consensus. Early June marks the onset of the Meiyu plum rain season, characterized by persistent cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced solar radiation that typically caps daytime highs near seasonal averages of 25–28°C. Model runs show stable steering patterns and no significant warming advection, aligning with verified observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon clearing intensifies or localized subsidence strengthens, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before final readings are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 3, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$154,805Date de fin
5 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 12:15 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on June 5 point to a daily maximum of 26°C, driving the near-certain market consensus. Early June marks the onset of the Meiyu plum rain season, characterized by persistent cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced solar radiation that typically caps daytime highs near seasonal averages of 25–28°C. Model runs show stable steering patterns and no significant warming advection, aligning with verified observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon clearing intensifies or localized subsidence strengthens, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before final readings are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$154,805Date de fin
5 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 12:15 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on June 5 point to a daily maximum of 26°C, driving the near-certain market consensus. Early June marks the onset of the Meiyu plum rain season, characterized by persistent cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced solar radiation that typically caps daytime highs near seasonal averages of 25–28°C. Model runs show stable steering patterns and no significant warming advection, aligning with verified observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon clearing intensifies or localized subsidence strengthens, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before final readings are recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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