Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C for Shenzhen’s July 7 maximum, driven by ensemble forecasts showing a monsoon-influenced subtropical environment with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity from the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and daytime convection limit surface heating and solar insolation, capping peaks near or slightly below the July climatological average of 32°C. Differentiation among tightly bunched outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of showers—earlier or heavier rain favors 29–30°C, while brief or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 31–32°C spike. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns add minor upward bias, yet model spread on boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed. Updated regional guidance and radar trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 7 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 7 juillet ?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,884 Vol.
$139,884 Vol.
7 juil. 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,884 Vol.
$139,884 Vol.
7 juil. 2026
24°C or below
$4,968 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,907 Vol.
No
26°C
$25,954 Vol.
No
27°C
$19,571 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,839 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$8,427 Vol.
No
30°C
$17,710 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,759 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,467 Vol.
No
33°C
$10,981 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$11,302 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C for Shenzhen’s July 7 maximum, driven by ensemble forecasts showing a monsoon-influenced subtropical environment with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity from the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and daytime convection limit surface heating and solar insolation, capping peaks near or slightly below the July climatological average of 32°C. Differentiation among tightly bunched outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of showers—earlier or heavier rain favors 29–30°C, while brief or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 31–32°C spike. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns add minor upward bias, yet model spread on boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed. Updated regional guidance and radar trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$139,884Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C for Shenzhen’s July 7 maximum, driven by ensemble forecasts showing a monsoon-influenced subtropical environment with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity from the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and daytime convection limit surface heating and solar insolation, capping peaks near or slightly below the July climatological average of 32°C. Differentiation among tightly bunched outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of showers—earlier or heavier rain favors 29–30°C, while brief or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 31–32°C spike. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns add minor upward bias, yet model spread on boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed. Updated regional guidance and radar trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$139,884Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C for Shenzhen’s July 7 maximum, driven by ensemble forecasts showing a monsoon-influenced subtropical environment with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity from the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and daytime convection limit surface heating and solar insolation, capping peaks near or slightly below the July climatological average of 32°C. Differentiation among tightly bunched outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of showers—earlier or heavier rain favors 29–30°C, while brief or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 31–32°C spike. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns add minor upward bias, yet model spread on boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed. Updated regional guidance and radar trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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