Current model consensus for Shenzhen points to a daytime maximum near 32–33 °C on June 25 under the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow beneath a subtropical high-pressure ridge, which supports the market’s tight clustering between 31 °C and 34 °C. Small differences in cloud timing, convective showers, or the precise strength of the ridge can shift the peak by 1–2 °C through altered solar heating and boundary-layer moisture. Recent runs show stable steering patterns with limited typhoon influence, keeping extremes below 35 °C unlikely while making sub-30 °C outcomes improbable without unexpected widespread overcast. Updated National Meteorological Center and global ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 25?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 25?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$76,418 Vol.
$76,418 Vol.
25 juin 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$76,418 Vol.
$76,418 Vol.
25 juin 2026
27°C or below
$319 Vol.
No
28°C
$329 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,367 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,044 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,096 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,199 Vol.
No
33°C
$22,817 Vol.
No
34°C
$14,583 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$9,127 Vol.
No
36°C
$6,879 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$1,656 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus for Shenzhen points to a daytime maximum near 32–33 °C on June 25 under the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow beneath a subtropical high-pressure ridge, which supports the market’s tight clustering between 31 °C and 34 °C. Small differences in cloud timing, convective showers, or the precise strength of the ridge can shift the peak by 1–2 °C through altered solar heating and boundary-layer moisture. Recent runs show stable steering patterns with limited typhoon influence, keeping extremes below 35 °C unlikely while making sub-30 °C outcomes improbable without unexpected widespread overcast. Updated National Meteorological Center and global ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$76,418Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus for Shenzhen points to a daytime maximum near 32–33 °C on June 25 under the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow beneath a subtropical high-pressure ridge, which supports the market’s tight clustering between 31 °C and 34 °C. Small differences in cloud timing, convective showers, or the precise strength of the ridge can shift the peak by 1–2 °C through altered solar heating and boundary-layer moisture. Recent runs show stable steering patterns with limited typhoon influence, keeping extremes below 35 °C unlikely while making sub-30 °C outcomes improbable without unexpected widespread overcast. Updated National Meteorological Center and global ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76,418Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current model consensus for Shenzhen points to a daytime maximum near 32–33 °C on June 25 under the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow beneath a subtropical high-pressure ridge, which supports the market’s tight clustering between 31 °C and 34 °C. Small differences in cloud timing, convective showers, or the precise strength of the ridge can shift the peak by 1–2 °C through altered solar heating and boundary-layer moisture. Recent runs show stable steering patterns with limited typhoon influence, keeping extremes below 35 °C unlikely while making sub-30 °C outcomes improbable without unexpected widespread overcast. Updated National Meteorological Center and global ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes