Recent official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 22, locking in the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global numerical weather prediction models converged tightly on a 14–17°C range, reflecting modest upper-level ridging and limited boundary-layer moisture that suppressed afternoon heating near late-May climatological norms. This strong model consensus, validated by surface data, left minimal uncertainty for resolution. Only an unforecasted localized thermal surge or station microclimate anomaly could have pushed readings outside the 16°C threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Toronto on May 22?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 22?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$51,610 Vol.
$51,610 Vol.
22 mai 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Oui
17 °C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C ou plus
Non
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$51,610 Vol.
$51,610 Vol.
22 mai 2026
10°C or below
$2,754 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,406 Vol.
Non
12°C
$3,018 Vol.
Non
13°C
$4,586 Vol.
Non
14°C
$5,809 Vol.
Non
15°C
$7,071 Vol.
Non
16°C
$6,702 Vol.
Oui
17 °C
$7,528 Vol.
Non
18°C
$6,798 Vol.
Non
19°C
$3,961 Vol.
Non
20°C ou plus
$1,976 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 22, locking in the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global numerical weather prediction models converged tightly on a 14–17°C range, reflecting modest upper-level ridging and limited boundary-layer moisture that suppressed afternoon heating near late-May climatological norms. This strong model consensus, validated by surface data, left minimal uncertainty for resolution. Only an unforecasted localized thermal surge or station microclimate anomaly could have pushed readings outside the 16°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$51,610Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 22, locking in the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global numerical weather prediction models converged tightly on a 14–17°C range, reflecting modest upper-level ridging and limited boundary-layer moisture that suppressed afternoon heating near late-May climatological norms. This strong model consensus, validated by surface data, left minimal uncertainty for resolution. Only an unforecasted localized thermal surge or station microclimate anomaly could have pushed readings outside the 16°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,610Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 22, locking in the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global numerical weather prediction models converged tightly on a 14–17°C range, reflecting modest upper-level ridging and limited boundary-layer moisture that suppressed afternoon heating near late-May climatological norms. This strong model consensus, validated by surface data, left minimal uncertainty for resolution. Only an unforecasted localized thermal surge or station microclimate anomaly could have pushed readings outside the 16°C threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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