Traders have converged on a 22°C high for Warsaw on June 17 because multiple numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, consistently forecast peak surface temperatures near that value under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and daytime insolation producing a maximum around 21–23°C. Official observations from Polish meteorological stations align with this consensus through the afternoon hours, leaving little room for deviation as the diurnal temperature cycle nears its end. Realistic challenges include unforecasted convective cloud development suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, a late warm-air advection spike, or station-specific microclimate effects that could shift the recorded maximum outside the narrow 22°C bin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 17 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 17 juin ?
22°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$39,940 Vol.
$39,940 Vol.
17 juin 2026
17°C ou moins
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Oui
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C ou plus
Non
22°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$39,940 Vol.
$39,940 Vol.
17 juin 2026
17°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
Non
18°C
$1,189 Vol.
Non
19°C
$2,641 Vol.
Non
20°C
$6,677 Vol.
Non
21°C
$9,450 Vol.
Non
22°C
$7,360 Vol.
Oui
23°C
$3,973 Vol.
Non
24°C
$3,427 Vol.
Non
25°C
$2,710 Vol.
Non
26°C
$2,183 Vol.
Non
27°C ou plus
$319 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 22°C high for Warsaw on June 17 because multiple numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, consistently forecast peak surface temperatures near that value under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and daytime insolation producing a maximum around 21–23°C. Official observations from Polish meteorological stations align with this consensus through the afternoon hours, leaving little room for deviation as the diurnal temperature cycle nears its end. Realistic challenges include unforecasted convective cloud development suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, a late warm-air advection spike, or station-specific microclimate effects that could shift the recorded maximum outside the narrow 22°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$39,940Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 22°C high for Warsaw on June 17 because multiple numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, consistently forecast peak surface temperatures near that value under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and daytime insolation producing a maximum around 21–23°C. Official observations from Polish meteorological stations align with this consensus through the afternoon hours, leaving little room for deviation as the diurnal temperature cycle nears its end. Realistic challenges include unforecasted convective cloud development suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, a late warm-air advection spike, or station-specific microclimate effects that could shift the recorded maximum outside the narrow 22°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,940Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders have converged on a 22°C high for Warsaw on June 17 because multiple numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, consistently forecast peak surface temperatures near that value under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and daytime insolation producing a maximum around 21–23°C. Official observations from Polish meteorological stations align with this consensus through the afternoon hours, leaving little room for deviation as the diurnal temperature cycle nears its end. Realistic challenges include unforecasted convective cloud development suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, a late warm-air advection spike, or station-specific microclimate effects that could shift the recorded maximum outside the narrow 22°C bin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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