Current weather models and official forecasts from sources like the BBC and European meteorological services point to a Warsaw high temperature on June 18 centered near 23–24°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mild westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and seasonal solar radiation support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with June climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and any late-day convective activity introduce the narrow spreads between 23°C and 25°C, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble runs as resolution nears. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in recent days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,297 Vol.
$73,297 Vol.
18 juin 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,297 Vol.
$73,297 Vol.
18 juin 2026
19°C or below
$473 Vol.
No
20°C
$784 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,115 Vol.
No
22°C
$11,066 Vol.
No
23°C
$23,383 Vol.
No
24°C
$9,945 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$6,427 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,702 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,557 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,751 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$2,093 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models and official forecasts from sources like the BBC and European meteorological services point to a Warsaw high temperature on June 18 centered near 23–24°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mild westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and seasonal solar radiation support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with June climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and any late-day convective activity introduce the narrow spreads between 23°C and 25°C, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble runs as resolution nears. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in recent days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Volume
$73,297Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models and official forecasts from sources like the BBC and European meteorological services point to a Warsaw high temperature on June 18 centered near 23–24°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mild westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and seasonal solar radiation support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with June climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and any late-day convective activity introduce the narrow spreads between 23°C and 25°C, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble runs as resolution nears. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in recent days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$73,297Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current weather models and official forecasts from sources like the BBC and European meteorological services point to a Warsaw high temperature on June 18 centered near 23–24°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mild westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and seasonal solar radiation support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with June climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and any late-day convective activity introduce the narrow spreads between 23°C and 25°C, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble runs as resolution nears. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in recent days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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