Current forecast consensus from major models positions Warsaw's June 24 high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 30% implied probability and nearby 26–28°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer variability around the 22–24°C June climatological average, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating under a weak ridge. Small probability spreads among 26–29°C outcomes stem from minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs through June 23 will likely tighten resolution criteria around official IMGW observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 24?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 24?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,164 Vol.
$45,164 Vol.
24 juin 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,164 Vol.
$45,164 Vol.
24 juin 2026
22°C or below
$332 Vol.
No
23°C
$882 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,966 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,172 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,555 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,816 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,645 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$8,405 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,704 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,463 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,223 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models positions Warsaw's June 24 high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 30% implied probability and nearby 26–28°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer variability around the 22–24°C June climatological average, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating under a weak ridge. Small probability spreads among 26–29°C outcomes stem from minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs through June 23 will likely tighten resolution criteria around official IMGW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$45,164Date de fin
24 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models positions Warsaw's June 24 high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 30% implied probability and nearby 26–28°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer variability around the 22–24°C June climatological average, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating under a weak ridge. Small probability spreads among 26–29°C outcomes stem from minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs through June 23 will likely tighten resolution criteria around official IMGW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,164Date de fin
24 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current forecast consensus from major models positions Warsaw's June 24 high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 30% implied probability and nearby 26–28°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer variability around the 22–24°C June climatological average, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and limited daytime heating under a weak ridge. Small probability spreads among 26–29°C outcomes stem from minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs through June 23 will likely tighten resolution criteria around official IMGW observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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